Predictive models for the American 2020 Presidential election

National polling of Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020
Biden has had a steady lead over Donald trump

Forecast models

 * 91% chance Trump wins- Norpoth Primary model

Biden Presidency prediction


 * 87% chance Biden wins- Kersting model
 * 92% chance Biden wins- The Economist model
 * According to Alan Abramowitz's model which predicted a Republican win in 2016 now predicts a Democratic win in 2020
 * According to Yale economist Ray Fair's model which predicted a Republican win in 2016 now shows with high confidence that a Democrat will win in 2020

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-trump-not-biden-might-have-an-enthusiasm-problem/

betting odds